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Hurricane update: Tracking Danny and staying safe

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Tropical Storm Danny's potential track as of 5 a.m. on Aug. 19, 2015 (Source: National Hurricane Center)

Tropical Storm Danny's potential track as of 5 a.m. on Aug. 19, 2015 (Source: National Hurricane Center)

Tropical Storm Danny is thousands of miles away from possibly affecting the U.S. or New Jersey.

But the cyclone is expected to strengthen and could become a hurricane on Thursday, according to the National Hurricane Center.

And this is a storm to watch, state climatologist David A. Robinson told me on Monday.

At 5 a.m. today, Danny was about 1,445 miles east of the Lesser Antilles. The storm, packing peak sustained winds close to 50 mph, was heading west at close to 14 mph, according to the hurricane center.

Hot, dry weather and a hurricane soon?

Meanwhile, a nontropical area of low pressure could form within a couple of hundred miles of Bermuda in a few days, according to the center. There's a low (30 percent) chance of a tropical or subtropical cyclone forming with five days.

You can track Danny using our Hurricane Resources for New Jersey residents. It lists websites and social media links to help you track and prepare for hurricanes and tropical storms. You can also learn if you live in a hazardous area prone to storm surges and coastal flooding and plan evacuation routes.

Speaking of storm surges, Jon K. Miller and Amy M. Williams of Stevens Institute of Technology gave a "Making Sense of Surge" presentation at a New Jersey Sea Grant Consortium workshop Monday. And it has an alarming projection for the next century.

Considering sea level rise, Atlantic City can expect 21 major flooding episodes in the next 100 years and 63 moderate flooding episodes, according to their presentation.

Will deadly hurricane threaten NJ this year?

In the past 100 years, three major flooding events were recorded at Atlantic City. They unfolded during the unnamed 1944 hurricane, the December 1992 nor'easter and superstorm Sandy in 2012, according to the presentation. There have also been eight moderate flooding events.

In a nutshell, get ready for a lot more severe flooding at the Jersey Shore, along the Bayshore and in back bay areas in upcoming decades.

Hurricanes: scary scenarios for NJ


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